This week "Idealism prevails" welcomes political scientist Heinz Gärtner, who will explore with us the possible ways out of the war in Ukraine – unfortunately he cannot spread much optimism.
Putin's war, which is increasingly being waged against civilians, could only be ended with a comprehensive ceasefire. Both sides' proposals for serious peace talks are on the table - and both sides will have to make concessions in the process. If no peace can be agreed upon, the outcome will be disastrous for both sides: Russia would win the military victory, but in the long run it cannot hold Ukraine, nor can the Russian economy survive a total blockade by the West.
Putin's decisive reason for this war is Ukraine's possible accession to NATO. Even if this accession is more than unlikely in the coming years, it would be an important signal to Putin to declare neutrality. Regarding Donbass and Crimea, negotiations would in any case be more difficult.
No one knows how far Putin wants to go militarily: whether he will risk a new Afghanistan, whether he will seek a division of Ukraine along the lines of Korea, or whether he will even consider the nuclear option?
Why Putin launched this war just now, why zones of interest will have to be kept in mind and whether the open world of globalization has come to an end are further topics of this conversation.
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